WC2026 Analyst — predictive scoring for the World Cup

Model strength (attack/defence from 1,591 historical matches + live WC results) alongside tournament form and squad quality.

#	Team	Grp	FIFA	Form	Overall	Attack	Defence	W-D-L	GF/GA	Pts	Squad
1	Spain	Group H	3	WWWWW	3.59	1.65	1.95	–	–	–	44.8
2	France	Group I	2	WWWWL	3.31	1.57	1.74	–	–	–	48
3	Colombia	Group K	14	WWDWD	3.15	1.19	1.96	–	–	–	42.8
4	Morocco	Group C	7	WWDWL	3.07	1.46	1.61	0-1-0	1/1	1	47.2
5	Brazil	Group C	6	DWWWL	3.06	1.53	1.53	0-1-0	1/1	1	47.5
6	Argentina	Group J	1	WDWDW	3.01	1.54	1.47	–	–	–	51.4
7	Mexico	Group A	13	WWWWL	2.91	1.47	1.45	1-0-0	2/0	3	52.9
8	England	Group L	4	WWWDL	2.89	1.52	1.37	–	–	–	49.2
9	Portugal	Group K	5	DWDWL	2.87	1.43	1.45	–	–	–	43.1
10	Netherlands	Group F	8	DWWD	2.73	1.54	1.18	0-1-0	2/2	1	46.5
11	Switzerland	Group B	19	WWWDD	2.72	1.31	1.41	0-1-0	1/1	1	47.5
12	Japan	Group F	17	DWDL	2.68	1.43	1.25	0-1-0	2/2	1	49.8
13	Germany	Group E	9	WWLD	2.67	1.65	1.02	1-0-0	7/1	3	48
14	Norway	Group I	31	WLWWD	2.63	1.67	0.96	–	–	–	50.1
15	Belgium	Group G	10	DWDWL	2.63	1.34	1.28	–	–	–	48.4
16	Senegal	Group I	16	LLWD	2.63	1.61	1.01	–	–	–	43.2
17	USA	Group D	15	WWLWL	2.35	1.53	0.82	1-0-0	4/1	3	46.9
18	Croatia	Group L	11	LWWL	2.31	1.30	1.01	–	–	–	37.5
19	Egypt	Group G	29	DWDDL	2.31	1.29	1.01	–	–	–	43.9
20	Uruguay	Group H	18	DDL	2.30	1.17	1.13	–	–	–	32
21	Ivory Coast	Group E	30	WLWL	2.26	1.01	1.25	1-0-0	1/0	3	46.5
22	Australia	Group D	22	WLDD	2.26	0.85	1.41	1-0-0	2/0	3	43.4
23	Canada	Group B	32	DWLWL	2.24	1.23	1.01	0-1-0	1/1	1	44.1
24	Iran	Group G	23	DDD	2.21	0.96	1.25	–	–	–	40.5
25	Democratic Rep Congo	Group K	45	DLWL	2.13	0.99	1.14	–	–	–	40.3
26	Paraguay	Group D	42	LWDDL	2.04	0.79	1.25	0-0-1	1/4	0	45.6
27	Turkey	Group D	26	LLW	2.02	1.18	0.84	0-0-1	0/2	0	44
28	Ecuador	Group E	28	LDWL	2.01	0.73	1.28	0-0-1	0/1	0	42
29	Austria	Group J	24	WLDL	1.96	1.08	0.88	–	–	–	36.1
30	Cape Verde	Group H	64	DDDD	1.93	0.69	1.23	–	–	–	42.7
31	South Korea	Group A	21	WLL	1.91	0.82	1.09	1-0-0	2/1	3	37
32	Sweden	Group F	35	WLDL	1.87	1.24	0.64	1-0-0	5/1	3	40.1
33	Algeria	Group J	27	LWDL	1.81	1.11	0.70	–	–	–	40
34	Ghana	Group L	73	WDLL	1.69	0.56	1.13	–	–	–	43.4
35	Scotland	Group C	38	WLL	1.68	0.75	0.92	1-0-0	1/0	3	34.7
36	South Africa	Group A	61	LDWL	1.53	0.42	1.11	0-0-1	0/2	0	35.6
37	Czech Republic	Group A	43	LDL	1.39	0.83	0.57	0-0-1	1/2	0	36.2
38	Bosnia and Herzegovina	Group B	63	DLWL	1.38	0.70	0.68	0-1-0	1/1	1	42.9
39	Panama	Group L	34	LLL	1.33	0.43	0.91	–	–	–	36.7
40	Saudi Arabia	Group H	60	DLD	1.32	0.54	0.78	–	–	–	32.7
41	Uzbekistan	Group K	50	LLL	1.02	0.79	0.23	–	–	–	36.8
42	Jordan	Group J	65	LLL	0.96	0.62	0.34	–	–	–	37.2
43	New Zealand	Group G	82	DLL	0.93	0.74	0.18	–	–	–	30.7
44	Iraq	Group I	57	LLL	0.89	0.47	0.42	–	–	–	40.1
45	Tunisia	Group F	56	LLL	0.85	0.56	0.29	0-0-1	1/5	0	32.2
46	Haiti	Group C	85	LLL	0.82	0.40	0.41	0-0-1	0/1	0	30.1
47	Qatar	Group B	49	DLL	0.81	0.58	0.23	0-1-0	1/1	1	36.5
48	Curacao	Group E	83	LDL	0.44	0.19	0.26	0-0-1	1/7	0	36.9

Team analysis