Model strength (attack/defence from 1,591 historical matches + live WC results) alongside tournament form and squad quality.
| # | Team | Grp | FIFA | Form | Overall | Attack | Defence | W-D-L | GF/GA | Pts | Squad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | Group J | 2 | WWW | 3.38 | 1.53 | 1.85 | 3-0-0 | 8/1 | 9 | 49.1 |
| 2 | Spain | Group H | 3 | DWW | 3.33 | 1.60 | 1.73 | 2-1-0 | 5/0 | 7 | 37 |
| 3 | Mexico | Group A | 9 | WWWW | 3.26 | 1.42 | 1.84 | 3-0-0 | 6/0 | 9 | 56.5 |
| 4 | Brazil | Group C | 5 | DWWW | 3.26 | 1.60 | 1.66 | 2-1-0 | 7/1 | 7 | 51.5 |
| 5 | France | Group I | 1 | WWWW | 3.21 | 1.56 | 1.65 | 3-0-0 | 10/2 | 9 | 50.8 |
| 6 | Colombia | Group K | 11 | WWD | 3.11 | 1.33 | 1.79 | 2-1-0 | 4/1 | 7 | 40.7 |
| 7 | Portugal | Group K | 8 | DWD | 2.90 | 1.46 | 1.44 | 1-2-0 | 6/1 | 5 | 40.9 |
| 8 | England | Group L | 4 | WDWW | 2.87 | 1.40 | 1.47 | 2-1-0 | 6/2 | 7 | 48.3 |
| 9 | Morocco | Group C | 6 | DWWD | 2.84 | 1.34 | 1.50 | 2-1-0 | 6/3 | 7 | 39.1 |
| 10 | USA | Group D | 15 | WWLW | 2.72 | 1.58 | 1.14 | 2-0-1 | 8/4 | 6 | 53.7 |
| 11 | Netherlands | Group F | 7 | DWWD | 2.71 | 1.54 | 1.17 | 2-1-0 | 10/4 | 7 | 51.9 |
| 12 | Japan | Group F | 17 | DWDL | 2.70 | 1.43 | 1.27 | 1-2-0 | 7/3 | 5 | 46 |
| 13 | Germany | Group E | 12 | WWLD | 2.67 | 1.64 | 1.03 | 2-0-1 | 10/4 | 6 | 53.7 |
| 14 | Switzerland | Group B | 16 | DWW | 2.60 | 1.39 | 1.21 | 2-1-0 | 7/3 | 7 | 43.3 |
| 15 | Senegal | Group I | 18 | LLWD | 2.54 | 1.56 | 0.98 | 1-0-2 | 8/6 | 3 | 42 |
| 16 | Canada | Group B | 30 | DWLW | 2.52 | 1.30 | 1.22 | 1-1-1 | 8/3 | 4 | 43.1 |
| 17 | Norway | Group I | 21 | WWLW | 2.43 | 1.60 | 0.83 | 2-0-1 | 8/7 | 6 | 46.7 |
| 18 | Belgium | Group G | 10 | DDWD | 2.37 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1-2-0 | 6/2 | 5 | 47.6 |
| 19 | Australia | Group D | 28 | WLD | 2.36 | 0.90 | 1.47 | 1-1-1 | 2/2 | 4 | 36.9 |
| 20 | Croatia | Group L | 13 | LWW | 2.29 | 1.28 | 1.01 | 2-0-1 | 5/5 | 6 | 34.9 |
| 21 | Uruguay | Group H | 19 | DDL | 2.26 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 0-2-1 | 3/4 | 2 | 34.6 |
| 22 | Ivory Coast | Group E | 31 | WLWL | 2.23 | 0.99 | 1.24 | 2-0-1 | 4/2 | 6 | 44.1 |
| 23 | Egypt | Group G | 26 | DWD | 2.21 | 1.09 | 1.12 | 1-2-0 | 5/3 | 5 | 37.1 |
| 24 | Paraguay | Group D | 34 | LWDD | 2.16 | 0.92 | 1.24 | 1-1-1 | 2/4 | 4 | 44.1 |
| 25 | Democratic Rep Congo | Group K | 41 | DLWL | 2.15 | 0.99 | 1.16 | 1-1-1 | 4/3 | 4 | 39.6 |
| 26 | Iran | Group G | 22 | DDD | 2.12 | 0.93 | 1.19 | 0-3-0 | 3/3 | 3 | 37 |
| 27 | Turkey | Group D | 27 | LLW | 2.07 | 1.21 | 0.87 | 1-0-2 | 3/5 | 3 | 42.8 |
| 28 | Austria | Group J | 23 | WLD | 2.07 | 1.12 | 0.95 | 1-1-1 | 6/6 | 4 | 36.6 |
| 29 | Ecuador | Group E | 24 | LDWL | 2.03 | 0.76 | 1.27 | 1-1-1 | 2/2 | 4 | 43.3 |
| 30 | South Korea | Group A | 32 | WLL | 1.94 | 0.84 | 1.09 | 1-0-2 | 2/3 | 3 | 36.6 |
| 31 | Algeria | Group J | 29 | LWD | 1.92 | 1.24 | 0.68 | 1-1-1 | 5/7 | 4 | 39 |
| 32 | Sweden | Group F | 37 | WLDL | 1.87 | 1.22 | 0.65 | 1-1-1 | 7/7 | 4 | 39.5 |
| 33 | Cape Verde | Group H | 64 | DDD | 1.71 | 0.58 | 1.13 | 0-3-0 | 2/2 | 3 | 38.9 |
| 34 | Ghana | Group L | 65 | WDL | 1.68 | 0.62 | 1.06 | 1-1-1 | 2/2 | 4 | 38.6 |
| 35 | Scotland | Group C | 42 | WLL | 1.67 | 0.75 | 0.92 | 1-0-2 | 1/4 | 3 | 38.6 |
| 36 | South Africa | Group A | 54 | LDWL | 1.57 | 0.45 | 1.12 | 1-1-1 | 2/3 | 4 | 38.9 |
| 37 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | Group B | 61 | DLWL | 1.46 | 0.74 | 0.73 | 1-1-1 | 5/6 | 4 | 44.3 |
| 38 | Czech Republic | Group A | 48 | LDL | 1.40 | 0.83 | 0.57 | 0-1-2 | 2/6 | 1 | 40.9 |
| 39 | Panama | Group L | 44 | LLL | 1.33 | 0.43 | 0.89 | 0-0-3 | 0/4 | 0 | 39.1 |
| 40 | Saudi Arabia | Group H | 58 | DLD | 1.27 | 0.51 | 0.76 | 0-2-1 | 1/5 | 2 | 32.6 |
| 41 | Uzbekistan | Group K | 60 | LLL | 1.06 | 0.78 | 0.28 | 0-0-3 | 2/11 | 0 | 40.6 |
| 42 | Jordan | Group J | 73 | LLL | 1.02 | 0.65 | 0.37 | 0-0-3 | 3/8 | 0 | 40.4 |
| 43 | Qatar | Group B | 59 | DLL | 0.87 | 0.58 | 0.28 | 0-1-2 | 2/10 | 1 | 40.2 |
| 44 | New Zealand | Group G | 86 | DLL | 0.85 | 0.74 | 0.10 | 0-1-2 | 4/10 | 1 | 34.3 |
| 45 | Tunisia | Group F | 57 | LLL | 0.84 | 0.55 | 0.29 | 0-0-3 | 2/12 | 0 | 38.5 |
| 46 | Iraq | Group I | 63 | LLL | 0.83 | 0.43 | 0.40 | 0-0-3 | 1/12 | 0 | 45.3 |
| 47 | Haiti | Group C | 88 | LLL | 0.82 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0-0-3 | 2/8 | 0 | 32.6 |
| 48 | Curacao | Group E | 82 | LDL | 0.45 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0-1-2 | 1/9 | 1 | 36.1 |